更新、策略解析以及接下来的计划
Twelve months ago, trading the weather on Polymarket was a curiosity: a few dozen markets a month and under $4M changing hands. Today it is one of the fastest-growing corners of the entire platform - 9,472 daily city-temperature events, 98,061 individual markets and $827.7 millio…
Today is a big day for us. We are incredibly happy to unveil two brand-new games built right into WeatherBot - Storm Spin, a weather-themed lightning roulette, and Storm Bet, a real-weather prediction market for the world's cities. Both are live right now in free beta, both are p…
We just shipped the biggest accuracy upgrade in WeatherBot's history for one city - and it is a game-changer. Hong Kong temperature markets on Polymarket settle on one number: the official daily maximum recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO). So we wired our engine directly …
A full, transparent look under the hood of WeatherBot. As of May 23, 2026 the platform serves 9,592 registered traders across 94 countries, who have realized a combined $3,367,133 in profit at a 71-80% average win rate. In this report we open the books: daily and 30-day profit cu…
Over a 30-day audit window ending May 22, 2026, WeatherBot identified and removed 213 user accounts for sustained abuse of our AI analysis engine. Roughly 85% of those accounts - about 181 of them - geolocated to a single country cluster (India). Collectively they ran our intelli…
Every trading bot ever built shares the same dirty secret: the longer it runs, the more chances it has to hurt you. Most of our users' worst days didn't come from one bad call - they came from a bot that kept trading, and trading, and trading, recycling the same bankroll through …
We just shipped one of the most important reliability fixes in WeatherBot's history. It is not a flashy new feature - it is a bankroll-protection fix. This post explains, in plain English, what was broken, what we changed, and exactly how it affects your money. No jargon. If you …
Multiple fraudulent websites are now impersonating WeatherBot. They look similar, they use our branding, and several are actively phishing private keys from users who thought they were on our site. Do not connect a wallet to any of them. The information below explains how to iden…
We're beginning work on the biggest forecast-accuracy upgrade in WeatherBot's history: integrating Google DeepMind's WeatherNext 2 directly into the trading engine. If we pull this off, it will fundamentally change the quality of every edge our bot detects - and therefore the exp…
Today we're thrilled to announce that WeatherBot v2 is officially live. This isn't a minor patch or a UI tweak - it's a complete rebuild from the ground up. New infrastructure, new trading engine, new design, and a fundamentally better experience for every user on the platform.
我们需要与社区诚实地讨论 WeatherBot 的未来。我们过去几个月经历的增长可以说是非凡的 - 这迫使我们对平台的方向做出一些艰难的决定。
We're building something that's never been done before in prediction market trading. While most bots rely solely on public weather APIs, we're taking WeatherBot to an entirely different level - one where we own the data pipeline from the physical sensors all the way to the trade …
大多数交易机器人是静态的。它们今天运行的逻辑与它们在第一天运行的相同。如果它们做了一个糟糕的交易，它们明天会愉快地再次做完全相同的糟糕交易。我们决定这还不够好。
Our team is working around the clock to make WeatherBot the most advanced weather prediction trading platform in the world. This isn't a side project - it's a full-time operation consuming significant engineering resources and, frankly, a tremendous amount of money in AI API cost…
Let's be transparent about something: running WeatherBot costs a significant amount of money in AI credits. Every 5 minutes, Claude analyzes 15 weather markets - that's 15 separate API calls, each with a detailed meteorological prompt, forecast data, trade history, and market con…
我们研究了 Polymarket 上最赚钱的天气交易者 - gopfan2(+$335,490 利润)、WeatherTraderBot(+$57,180)、neobrother(+$20,000) 和 Hans323(+$80,899) - 并基于他们经过验证的策略完全重写了我们的交易引擎。
美国全球模型。16 天逐小时预报。最适合北美。已知夏季略偏高。