更新、策略解析,以及接下來的計畫
Twelve months ago, trading the weather on Polymarket was a curiosity: a few dozen markets a month and under $4M changing hands. Today it is one of the fastest-growing corners of the entire platform - 9,472 daily city-temperature events, 98,061 individual markets and $827.7 millio…
Today is a big day for us. We are incredibly happy to unveil two brand-new games built right into WeatherBot - Storm Spin, a weather-themed lightning roulette, and Storm Bet, a real-weather prediction market for the world's cities. Both are live right now in free beta, both are p…
We just shipped the biggest accuracy upgrade in WeatherBot's history for one city - and it is a game-changer. Hong Kong temperature markets on Polymarket settle on one number: the official daily maximum recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO). So we wired our engine directly …
A full, transparent look under the hood of WeatherBot. As of May 23, 2026 the platform serves 9,592 registered traders across 94 countries, who have realized a combined $3,367,133 in profit at a 71-80% average win rate. In this report we open the books: daily and 30-day profit cu…
Over a 30-day audit window ending May 22, 2026, WeatherBot identified and removed 213 user accounts for sustained abuse of our AI analysis engine. Roughly 85% of those accounts - about 181 of them - geolocated to a single country cluster (India). Collectively they ran our intelli…
Every trading bot ever built shares the same dirty secret: the longer it runs, the more chances it has to hurt you. Most of our users' worst days didn't come from one bad call - they came from a bot that kept trading, and trading, and trading, recycling the same bankroll through …
We just shipped one of the most important reliability fixes in WeatherBot's history. It is not a flashy new feature - it is a bankroll-protection fix. This post explains, in plain English, what was broken, what we changed, and exactly how it affects your money. No jargon. If you …
Multiple fraudulent websites are now impersonating WeatherBot. They look similar, they use our branding, and several are actively phishing private keys from users who thought they were on our site. Do not connect a wallet to any of them. The information below explains how to iden…
We're beginning work on the biggest forecast-accuracy upgrade in WeatherBot's history: integrating Google DeepMind's WeatherNext 2 directly into the trading engine. If we pull this off, it will fundamentally change the quality of every edge our bot detects - and therefore the exp…
Today we're thrilled to announce that WeatherBot v2 is officially live. This isn't a minor patch or a UI tweak - it's a complete rebuild from the ground up. New infrastructure, new trading engine, new design, and a fundamentally better experience for every user on the platform.
我們需要與社群誠實地討論 WeatherBot 的未來。我們過去幾個月經歷的成長可以說是非凡的 - 這迫使我們對平台的方向做出一些艱難的決定。
We're building something that's never been done before in prediction market trading. While most bots rely solely on public weather APIs, we're taking WeatherBot to an entirely different level - one where we own the data pipeline from the physical sensors all the way to the trade …
大多數交易機器人是靜態的。它們今天運行的邏輯與它們在第一天運行的相同。如果它們做了一個糟糕的交易，它們明天會愉快地再次做完全相同的糟糕交易。我們決定這還不夠好。
Our team is working around the clock to make WeatherBot the most advanced weather prediction trading platform in the world. This isn't a side project - it's a full-time operation consuming significant engineering resources and, frankly, a tremendous amount of money in AI API cost…
Let's be transparent about something: running WeatherBot costs a significant amount of money in AI credits. Every 5 minutes, Claude analyzes 15 weather markets - that's 15 separate API calls, each with a detailed meteorological prompt, forecast data, trade history, and market con…
我們研究了 Polymarket 上最賺錢的天氣交易者 - gopfan2（+$335,490 獲利)、WeatherTraderBot(+$57,180)、neobrother(+$20,000) 和 Hans323(+$80,899) - 並基於他們經過驗證的策略完全重寫了我們的交易引擎。
美國全球模型。16 天逐小時預報。最適合北美。已知夏季略偏高。