アップデート、戦略解説、そして今後の予定
Twelve months ago, trading the weather on Polymarket was a curiosity: a few dozen markets a month and under $4M changing hands. Today it is one of the fastest-growing corners of the entire platform - 9,472 daily city-temperature events, 98,061 individual markets and $827.7 millio…
Today is a big day for us. We are incredibly happy to unveil two brand-new games built right into WeatherBot - Storm Spin, a weather-themed lightning roulette, and Storm Bet, a real-weather prediction market for the world's cities. Both are live right now in free beta, both are p…
We just shipped the biggest accuracy upgrade in WeatherBot's history for one city - and it is a game-changer. Hong Kong temperature markets on Polymarket settle on one number: the official daily maximum recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO). So we wired our engine directly …
A full, transparent look under the hood of WeatherBot. As of May 23, 2026 the platform serves 9,592 registered traders across 94 countries, who have realized a combined $3,367,133 in profit at a 71-80% average win rate. In this report we open the books: daily and 30-day profit cu…
Over a 30-day audit window ending May 22, 2026, WeatherBot identified and removed 213 user accounts for sustained abuse of our AI analysis engine. Roughly 85% of those accounts - about 181 of them - geolocated to a single country cluster (India). Collectively they ran our intelli…
Every trading bot ever built shares the same dirty secret: the longer it runs, the more chances it has to hurt you. Most of our users' worst days didn't come from one bad call - they came from a bot that kept trading, and trading, and trading, recycling the same bankroll through …
We just shipped one of the most important reliability fixes in WeatherBot's history. It is not a flashy new feature - it is a bankroll-protection fix. This post explains, in plain English, what was broken, what we changed, and exactly how it affects your money. No jargon. If you …
Multiple fraudulent websites are now impersonating WeatherBot. They look similar, they use our branding, and several are actively phishing private keys from users who thought they were on our site. Do not connect a wallet to any of them. The information below explains how to iden…
We're beginning work on the biggest forecast-accuracy upgrade in WeatherBot's history: integrating Google DeepMind's WeatherNext 2 directly into the trading engine. If we pull this off, it will fundamentally change the quality of every edge our bot detects - and therefore the exp…
Today we're thrilled to announce that WeatherBot v2 is officially live. This isn't a minor patch or a UI tweak - it's a complete rebuild from the ground up. New infrastructure, new trading engine, new design, and a fundamentally better experience for every user on the platform.
WeatherBot の将来について、コミュニティと正直に話し合う必要があります。過去数ヶ月の成長は並外れたもの - そしてプラットフォームの方向性について、いくつかの難しい決断を迫られました。
We're building something that's never been done before in prediction market trading. While most bots rely solely on public weather APIs, we're taking WeatherBot to an entirely different level - one where we own the data pipeline from the physical sensors all the way to the trade …
ほとんどのトレーディングボットは静的です。彼らは初日に実行したのと同じロジックを今日も実行します。悪い取引をした場合、明日も喜んでまったく同じ悪い取引をするでしょう。私たちはそれでは十分ではないと判断しました。
Our team is working around the clock to make WeatherBot the most advanced weather prediction trading platform in the world. This isn't a side project - it's a full-time operation consuming significant engineering resources and, frankly, a tremendous amount of money in AI API cost…
Let's be transparent about something: running WeatherBot costs a significant amount of money in AI credits. Every 5 minutes, Claude analyzes 15 weather markets - that's 15 separate API calls, each with a detailed meteorological prompt, forecast data, trade history, and market con…
Polymarket で最も収益性の高い天気トレーダー - gopfan2（+$335,490 の利益）、WeatherTraderBot（+$57,180）、neobrother（+$20,000）、Hans323（+$80,899）- を研究し、彼らの実証済み戦略に基づいてトレーディングエンジンを完全に書き直しました。
米国のグローバルモデル。16 日先まで時間別。北米向けに最適。夏はやや高めに出る傾向あり。